Re fracturing the Republican party - From the BBC link that was being updated for a while (stopped now) - https://www.bbc.com/news/live/world-us-canada-55586067
"As many as seven out of 10 Trump supporters - those who voted for Trump in November's presidential election - who participated in the national public opinion survey on Thursday and Friday condemned the violence, which led to the deaths of four civilians and a police officer."
Implication ... The hard-right proportion (Trump devotees who will never give up) are perhaps 30% of the Republicans. The moderate-right proportion are perhaps 70%. That seems plausible. If that's the case and the Republicans manage to survive this as a single party, that means even if Trump or someone like him were to run in 2024, they are unlikely to win. If the Republican party splits in two (one 70% moderate-right and one 30% hard-right), neither surviving part would be likely to overcome the Democrats. If the hard-right part fielded candidates in much of the country, it's likely that few if any would be elected, and after the 2024 election, that would be the end of them.
Or so we hope. For the USA to survive as a functional democratic republic with a two-party system, those two parties need to be one moderate-left and one moderate-right, both of which respect the rule of law and uphold the constitution, and the extremists (of ANY form) need to be pushed out of relevance.
"As many as seven out of 10 Trump supporters - those who voted for Trump in November's presidential election - who participated in the national public opinion survey on Thursday and Friday condemned the violence, which led to the deaths of four civilians and a police officer."
Implication ... The hard-right proportion (Trump devotees who will never give up) are perhaps 30% of the Republicans. The moderate-right proportion are perhaps 70%. That seems plausible. If that's the case and the Republicans manage to survive this as a single party, that means even if Trump or someone like him were to run in 2024, they are unlikely to win. If the Republican party splits in two (one 70% moderate-right and one 30% hard-right), neither surviving part would be likely to overcome the Democrats. If the hard-right part fielded candidates in much of the country, it's likely that few if any would be elected, and after the 2024 election, that would be the end of them.
Or so we hope. For the USA to survive as a functional democratic republic with a two-party system, those two parties need to be one moderate-left and one moderate-right, both of which respect the rule of law and uphold the constitution, and the extremists (of ANY form) need to be pushed out of relevance.
but it's going to fizzle and fall apart in a year.