Extrapolation and speculation ... based on what's on
www.worldometers.info
Spain is in the process of opening up. Population approx 50 million, number of new cases about 500 per day (so 10 per million population), deaths about 100 per day not counting the last couple of days where something screwy happened (I'm guessing it was an accounting correction) so 2 per million population per day. Took 2 months from peak rates which were about 16 times higher than this, to where they are now.
Canada: about 900 new cases per day (so 25 per million population), deaths wandering around 100 per day. Big change from two months ago. Case numbers are down about 40% in the last month. So, after initially being much worse off, Spain's numbers dropped off much faster than ours (probably because they had a tight lockdown, and we had a sloppy one). So, at the moment, Spain as a whole is less risky than Canada as a whole is, and their numbers have been dropping faster. I feel better (and more optimistic) about that trip I still have on the books ... which is still 3 months away.
USA: about 20,000 new cases per day (so 60 per million population), deaths near 1200 per day (highly erratic), so per capita they have more official cases and about the same number of deaths. Daily new cases are down about 25% and deaths are down 45% in the last month ... but the consequences of opening up too early aren't reflected yet. (We're also opening up too early, if Spain is anything to go by, but the USA is opening up way too early.)
Our numbers are highly influenced by the disaster in long-term-care, and by Montreal, and to a lesser extent Toronto. Much of the rest of the country has either excluded the virus or is within sight of doing so.
USA numbers have been highly influenced by New York City, except their numbers have been dropping off while other areas have been increasing. The trouble spots are the northeast and the Great Lakes area. There are no states that have excluded it, but there are quite a few that have (thus far) had little effect. Canada as a whole has had 182 deaths per million population. Georgia and Ohio are around the same. North Carolina has around half that. Tennessee, much less. Arkansas and West Virginia less again. Florida and California, for all the fuss made around them, have fewer deaths per capita than we do.