You can smell the election in the air already...7 months out!
Ford cancelled the previous minimum wage increase when he came to power, and now because (I assume) election is coming and he can sense uncertainty in his win he wants to increase the minimum wage for workers that will now support him.
Biggest gain is in servers as they're jumping up from 13.25/hr to 15/hr...so do we still 'have to' tip 20% to provide them a living wage? Or will tipping now be reduced somewhat as they're at the same level as other low income workers that don't get tips?
I guess all wages will follow suit, because why bother working for $17/hr if you can have less bs to deal with at $15...so other lower rates will increase accordingly?
How long before everything starts going up in price with the justification of higher wages?
I'm not really sure what this means, I can't get unskilled labor at $15/hour in a clean shop with career development, pension, dental, prescription plan benefits. I can't get reasonable applicants at $20.
Well, CRB just ended last month, so the 2M Canadians that were collecting assistance *should* be out looking for jobs now. Theoretically...
There is talk that the ending of government assistance programs represents a drop of 3% in average household income. Couple that with the recently announced 4.4% inflation - the highest number in 18 years - this is something that's going to affect spending and economic growth if that income isn't replaced very soon.
I'm sure it will but they aren't feeling the heat yet. Haven't yet run out of money and are still enjoying perpetual vacation. Another is trying to sell Norwex instead of returning to a restaurant.
I'm not really sure what this means, I can't get unskilled labor at $15/hour in a clean shop with career development, pension, dental, prescription plan benefits. I can't get reasonable applicants at $20.
I haven't had a job that had pension/dental/prescription in almost 20 years. I made more hourly, but all expenses and saving were my problem to pay for.
I'm sure it will but they aren't feeling the heat yet. Haven't yet run out of money and are still enjoying perpetual vacation. Another is trying to sell Norwex instead of returning to a restaurant.
You need some money to play with Stonks. And some initiative to setup a trading account. I have harassed my brother monthly to get a trading account setup and get an RESP going for his kids. It's still not done. Oldest kid is five. fack. Government has changed the rules so you can only catchup a year at a time (assuming you want the grant which you do). It doesn't look like he will get it funded this year so the oldest kid will be 12 before he even gets caught up. That's not a lot of years left to grow.
Now crypto is interesting. Sprinkle a few CERB payments around and hope that in a few years you can retire (bleeping "investments" with no connection to fundamentals).
...
As for waiter/waitress, I am conflicted. Any that are worth their salt are making far more in tips than they did in wage. The open secret is to declare ~10% of your wage as tips and the real number is more like 100 to 200%. Look at after tax income and many can be doing surprising well even though it isn't reflected on their tax returns. Changing their wage by $1 an hour probably makes little difference to their take home pay (probably more increase in pay due to rising prices in restaurant to cover their higher wages so they get tipped on a bigger number).
My daughter worked as a server for 3 summers while going thru school. Tips averaged $20/hr, on good days up to $40. She never worried about the wage part, that was a bonus.
She worked as a cart girl slinging sammies and beers. Her friends in decent restaurants did better, but suffered ****** hours.
I'm not really sure what this means, I can't get unskilled labor at $15/hour in a clean shop with career development, pension, dental, prescription plan benefits. I can't get reasonable applicants at $20.
As we had talked my buddy has the same issue. Lot of willing bodies for $15/hr cash so they can take their CERB/CRB on top of the pay…but none willing at $20 on payroll.
Govt programs ended so it’s just a matter of time when the funds run out and it’s time to get to it.
I mostly agree and that is an interesting situation. At some point, cheap places like Tim Hortons or Country Style can no longer afford to function under their business model and either reinvent or collapse. When I was in Australia, I don't know if I ever bought a coffee that was less than $5, many were pushing $8. They were for the most part very delicious. Selling a cheap cup of brown and water doesn't cover expenses when wages rise. People don't want to (or can't) pay $4 for a cup of brown and water.
On a similar note as minimum wage rises, I expect more immigrant workers will be brought it as they used to be able to pay them a lot less by subtracting room and board (and I expect that is still the case). Basically businesses still have access to cheap labour, they just need to import it (leaving more Canadians unemployed or hopefully training and moving up but many will just be stuck circling the drain).
Timmies three or four times a day, a latte or so as well, dining out or take out half the meals, car washes, cleaning lady, lawn and snow service, handyman to fix house stuff, how many could afford their lifestyle if it wasn't for minimum wage workers either here or on the pacific rim?
It would have an interesting leveling effect if we made all incomes everywhere life sustaining. It would also destroy the economy as we know it.
Burger prices would go up and quantities down creating unemployment and destroying investor capital.
Timmies three or four times a day, a latte or so as well, dining out or take out half the meals, car washes, cleaning lady, lawn and snow service, handyman to fix house stuff, how many could afford their lifestyle if it wasn't for minimum wage workers either here or on the pacific rim?
It would have an interesting leveling effect if we made all incomes everywhere life sustaining. It would also destroy the economy as we know it.
Burger prices would go up and quantities down creating unemployment and destroying investor capital.
I have ~one coffee a week outside of the house. Restaurant every two to four weeks. Commercial carwash maybe once a year. No cleaning lady. No lawn or snow service. No handyman to fix house. Not a giant pile of cash at the end of the month. If I did all of those things, I would probably be cashflow negative which is a pretty crap situation and obviously unsustainable. Many of my neighbours do most of those things, but they bought a few years before me so their mortgage is likely smaller by 50% or better. If I can get through the next 15 years without a cashflow crisis, we will be in great shape as investments should be at a level to start kicking some money out.
I don't think it is possible to make all incomes life-sustaining. Needs with limited supply (such as housing) means that those items grow to match the available capital. Minimum wage could be 60K a year and there would still be no way for a single minimum wage earner to afford a decent place to live (landlords would love it though as rent would be way up).
I'm the guy that was keeping servers paid (pre pandemic) restaurants 3-4 times a week, bevys 4-5 times , coffee mid day . I'm out of that rotation and not sure I'm missing it.
I still have the same clients and friends , we just do something else.
my last club bartender quit to work a a nice restaurant in Bronte , he's making $2-300 per shift in tips on 'hot' nights. Grumbles that the lack of cash payments means it mostly goes through the payroll system. Tough times LOL
You only have to do the math. $2000/mo for a decent apt. $7000/yr to run a vehicle. $500/mo for food. Toronto is a crime-filled, low-wage, exploited immigrant dump. If I was young, I wouldn't stay.
According to stats Canada, and I'm just putting this here as info.
1971 - minimum wage - $1.65 @ hr for a 44 hr week = $3,630.00 @ year <> average house - $32,513.00 = 8.9 yrs wages.
2021 - minimum wage - $14.35 @ hr for a 40 hr week = $28,700.00 @ yr <> average house - $1,070,000.00 = 37.3 yrs wages.
Note: 1971 average house size 1500 sq ft
2021 average house size 2464 sq ft
Has minimum wage fallen that far, or have houses jumped too fast?
According to stats Canada, and I'm just putting this here as info.
1971 - minimum wage - $1.65 @ hr for a 44 hr week = $3630.00 @ year <> average house - $32513.00 = 8.9 yrs wages.
2021 - minimum wage - $14.35 @ hr for a 40 hr week = $28700.00 @ yr <> average house - $1070000.00 = 37.3 yrs wages.
Has minimum wage fallen that far, or have houses jumped too fast?
Both but mostly houses jumped too fast. Compare vs inflation or if you prefer some other commodity. Gasoline in early 1970's was ~0.54 $/gallon ($0.119 $/litre). 1 hour of work bought you ~13.9 litres of gas. Now gas is ~$1.45.litre so one hour of work buys you 9.9 litres of gas. So using gas as a benchmark, minimum wage has slipped about 40%. If minimum wage was 40% higher now (20.09/hr), that would still mean the average house takes 26.6 years of gross wages.
Looking at average house is a little messed up too I think. The average 1971 detached house was far far smaller and more cheaply finished. Half the square footage and siding, wall to wall carpet and laminate instead of brick/stucco, hardwood and granite. Obviously most of the 1971 houses still exist but many(probably most) have had literally hundreds of thousands dumped into their finishes.
Both but mostly houses jumped too fast. Compare vs inflation or if you prefer some other commodity. Gasoline in early 1970's was ~0.54 $/gallon ($0.119 $/litre). 1 hour of work bought you ~13.9 litres of gas. Now gas is ~$1.45.litre so one hour of work buys you 9.9 litres of gas. So using gas as a benchmark, minimum wage has slipped about 40%. If minimum wage was 40% higher now (20.09/hr), that would still mean the average house takes 26.6 years of gross wages.
Looking at average house is a little messed up too I think. The average 1971 detached house was far far smaller and more cheaply finished. Half the square footage and siding, wall to wall carpet and laminate instead of brick/stucco, hardwood and granite. Obviously most of the 1971 houses still exist but many(probably most) have had literally hundreds of thousands dumped into their finishes.
Minimum wage has never been a great bar for home ownership. Even 9+ years gross plus interest means you can never pay off a house. Median is probably a better metric to track for home ownership. Obviously different hours required but I suspect the ratio between now and then will likely be close to your seven times kick in the nuts (for those trying to get it, for those already in, that may have exceeded their after-tax income).
The ones that get really hurt don't get much media attention. ODSP, low-income pensions (including military) etc. Minimum wage earners are their competition for housing. Minimum wage is climbing much faster than their income (which in many cases is completely fixed). As they aren't working, they can't afford to live close to jobs. Unfortunately that means they also can't afford to live close to stores, transit etc that they need to survive. The money is not there for a conventional vehicle. You end up with many of them way outside of rural towns and riding an ebike or bicycle up to an hour to go grocery shopping.
This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.