My Aug 2009 rate was 4.95 5-yr fixed. That was the employee rate at my wife's bank. Today's employee rate from wife's bank is 4.47, 48 basis points lower than 2009.
I expect rates have peaked and that BOC could hold, but wont. I suspect .25 jump this month then a long hold, maybe till early 2025. But you never know, BOC may well play some political games -- there is no fundamental economic need to do another raise. If JT starts pouring cash into the economy inflation will increase, which in turn forces rates higher.
The stuff I'm getting suggests 2025 will see some nice drops, maybe down to 2.5 by the end of 2025.
Unfortunately my crystal ball looks smoke filled right now.
Logic would say hold but we will see, maybe another quater point for ***** and giggles. Canada has one of the lower inflation rates in the G7. More info here.... including other measures.
CEA: Apples to Äpfel: Recent Inflation Trends in the G7 | The White House
Inflation is top of mind globally. Comparing inflation across countries, however, is a lot easier said than done. In this post, the CEA introduces a new model that harmonizes various measures of inflation, allowing for a more apples-to-apples comparison across G7 countries—or rather, apples to...
www.whitehouse.gov