Young people don’t answer polls. Early voting has seen more young people vote than ever before. Young men are more apathetic in terms of voting compared to young women. Women in general are fired up by Roe V Wade (as they were in the midterms and nothing has persuaded them to ignore this issue since). Trump has tried hard to attract young men to his side for this exact reason. ...
I don't think this is as big of an issue as the media and Dems have tried to make it. Sure there will be activists on each side, but the issue itself doesn't come close to the core election issues of housing, inflation impact (affordability), and borders.
I met lots of people with strong views on both sides -- not a single person, young or old who considers this as a core election issue.
Polls are actively being used as political chess pieces now to either prepare for a “it’s a steal” or to address voting habits eg “don’t go, it’s a sure thing” or “do go it’s looking bad” . So I don’t think that things are necessarily as close as a media that wants clicks is telling us.
Pollsters are up in the air, win or lose is within margin of error in places where polls might count.
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The Arab voters know Trump would be worse for them.
Ya think? Trump took 35% of the Arab voting in 2000, Biden took 59%. Today those numbers are nearly reversed .. Republicans are - somewhere above 52%. That would be a 50% increase for Republicans.
Many voters know inflation/cost of living increases are worldwide, not just the US. I don’t know those are the issues that will swing this.
That doesn't matter, it's how people feel when the open their wallets than count.
An it's also not true.
The US, like Canada printed dumpster of cash the got thrown into their respective economies at a time when goods were restricted. Both BOC and the Biden administration told the public the spend-induced inflation was transitory, meaning it would behave like the cost of fuel to supply and demand. That was simply wrong - a basket of groceries or a home cost 30-40% more than they did in 2020. Unlike gasoline which peaked at $6 and now sits at $2.75, groceries, finance costs, and housing underwent ratcheted inflation -- prices will not be coming down.
Major economies around the world did get transitory inflation, prices went up, then for the most part came down. Transitory inflation reacts to declines in energy and commodity costs. Goods and housing affordability did not ratchet by 30% in 3 years.
We import from USA, Europe and Asia. Since 2020 Ive seen no trade price increases from any Asian supplier, Euro prices spiked by 15% in 2022, but have since rolled back to about 10% over 2920.
I think this is Roe V Wade again and when you’ve potentially ****** off 50% of the population that’s huge.
However- there are voters that will never vote for a woman regardless and voters that won’t vote for a coloured person regardless but again, I think that Venn diagram already mostly includes those people in the MAGA crowd and that MAGA crowd wasn’t enough 4 years ago and I don’t think it’s enough now.
