COVID and the housing market | Page 4 | GTAMotorcycle.com

COVID and the housing market

Bunch of co workers made this jump in ‘17. Bought pre construction 5 bedroom 3.5 bathroom developments in Alliston for $550. Sold their Markham townhouses for $1.2+. No mortgage, new Benz suvs in the driveway, money in the bank and they are laughing.
My friends did it the other way around. Bought the pre construction houses in Alliston and then flipped them for 150-200k more after a year or so. Then put down payments on houses here.
 
I got pre-approved for $350k this year. The real estate agent and mortgage broker both said good luck

If I was in your spot today I would be looking for a condo in Hamilton, Kitchener/Waterloo, Barrie. You may not love it but it's doable and gets you started.

My first place sucked. I didn't have a kitchen for 6 months, walking around on the subfloor for a couple years before I got to that, bare drywall walls, In and out of my line of credit etc. Point is it wasn't a great time at all but it paid off.

Good luck.
 
Kind of BS. You can't look back to forecast that far forward. Also for the numbers to be remotely feasible, you need interest rates to stay very low for the next 30 years which is highly unlikely.

The ponzi scheme was financed by people buying a 100K condo, selling for 250, buying a townhouse for 400, selling for 600, buying an 800K house, selling for 1.5 etc. We have essentially lost the bottom step or two. Sure, some peoples parents are sitting on a giant amount of money tied up in real estate that they could leverage to help their kid(s) jump in at step two or three, but they are the exception. Especially if multiple kids are involved, not many parents can afford to distribute many hundreds of thousands times multiple kids to get them into the market.

Can you imagine if interest rates climbed even a little? People currently surviving while paying $2000+ month in interest are all of a sudden drowning paying $4000+ a month in interest. They need to get out and downsize to something affordable which will stall (and maybe even drop) a substantial portion of the housing market.

Our Toronto house is worth ten times what it was 40 years ago so the theory is not impossible.

However at some point the interest rates will rise and being over leveraged will be a killer.

A five year plan was tricky before Covid. To suggest a 30 plan is merely musing about possibilities. The more beer you drink the more practical it sounds.

Is there anything in life that isn't a Ponzi scheme? Government and investing etc. Think of the big names that were once blue chip stocks and are now stencil brands for batteries and flashlights.

Repeating myself, we have to do something about capital gains on personal properties. We don't have to gut our parents or grand parents but we need to review the 2016 changes to see if there is room to discourage the greed.
 
I hear canada is a hub for money launderers, throw in a bunch of speculators, and tons of immigrants and you have what is the ontario real estate market.


Back in the day a house was an essential service, just to stay alive and put a roof over your head, now its just an investment strategy.

In addition to this, I understand mortgage fraud is rampant, wages havent kept up with real estate, yet people keep qualifying for those expensive mortgages :unsure:

So either they have the cash from their first home and are not first time buyers, OR someone needs to take a closer look at the paper work ?
 
I've heard rumours of people having problems with getting insurance and mortgages for over priced properties in the boonies.
Insurance shouldn't be a huge issue as most of the money is in the land and not able to be lost. Mortgages on the other hand. Yeesh. I'm not sure how they are dealing with this mess. The whole program is based on stable (or at least predictable) price changes. If you pay close to what someone else paid for a similar house a year ago it is pretty safe for the bank. If you pay 50% more than a similar house a year ago, did they get a great deal or is your price crazy and unsupported? I don't know how the lenders deal with that. It would be easy for them to say that you have to throw in another 30% to protect them, but nobody has that.
 
I've heard rumours people getting crazy money for fairly marginal water access only properties in the boonies, sometimes even buying up multiple small lots to make one big one. My guess is they own a floatplane.

If the swamp is more than 50% water I guess it's waterfront.

I was talking to a true nature loving, laid back couple with a watery lot. The high water one year didn't bother them. The extra frogs the flooding brought them the next year didn't bother them. The extra snakes the frogs brought the next year were welcomed because the kept the two legged snakes away.
 
Repeating myself, we have to do something about capital gains on personal properties. We don't have to gut our parents or grand parents but we need to review the 2016 changes to see if there is room to discourage the greed.
I completely agree. Even something like a lifetime capital gain exemption of $1,000,000 does a lot. If you wanted it to be "fair" the exemption would be much much lower than that but I don't expect any politician to attempt fair. For MP, why would he sell and move up if the entire capital gain on the text house would be taxable? He'd do better using the money for TFSA or some other more liquid investment. Let people hopping around, less appreciation on houses over 1M. No reason at all to buy a ridiculous house unless it is for vanity. A friend bought his house in Mississauga in 2015 for 1.2 and listed it for 2.4 in 2018. wtf. 400K a year tax-free? ridiculous and should be plugged asap. I would still prefer a flat tax that helps with the haves and have nots. What did you make last year from all sources? Give us this percentage of that. All of the holes are just tools exploited by the wealthy and essentially unavailable to the average. The further you move up the wealth tree, the more tools you have to avoid paying tax (and the more cash flow you have at a very low tax rate). Ridiculous.
 
I grew up in Scarborough. 550 McCowan Rd just south of Lawrence. Mom and Dad bought the place in 1958 for $22,000. They had to borrow the down payment from Dad's parents, and grandma never let Mom forget."OMG, it's so big".
I wonder what that place would sell for now?
 
I grew up in Scarborough. 550 McCowan Rd just south of Lawrence. Mom and Dad bought the place in 1958 for $22,000. They had to borrow the down payment from Dad's parents, and grandma never let Mom forget."OMG, it's so big".
I wonder what that place would sell for now?
563 went for over 1M in September 2020.
 
If I was in your spot today I would be looking for a condo in Hamilton, Kitchener/Waterloo, Barrie. You may not love it but it's doable and gets you started.

My first place sucked. I didn't have a kitchen for 6 months, walking around on the subfloor for a couple years before I got to that, bare drywall walls, In and out of my line of credit etc. Point is it wasn't a great time at all but it paid off.

Good luck.

I live in KW.

Nothing is available for $350s** and 1 bedroom apartments are creeping into $2000+ territory

** Or cheap mortgage but high condo fees.......


edit - I just checked Kijiji again and it's cheaper than December 2020. My bad
 
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What the honest f***

I think after COVID, I will leverage my degree and move to the US :(
Double income.

The most successful couples I know, minus the 1% (aka. doctors), have a combined income between $100,000 to $200,000+. This won't change anywhere because last generation decided they wanted women to work so now we have this problem lol (not against women working, just stating a fact.)

I recall your situation with your significant other. Good luck.
 
I live in KW.

Nothing is available for $350s** and 1 bedroom apartments are creeping into $2000+ territory


** Or cheap mortgage but high condo fees.......

Your best bet is london or sudbury at this point.

I would suggest windsor but by all accounts not a lot of work in that town
 
My friends did it the other way around. Bought the pre construction houses in Alliston and then flipped them for 150-200k more after a year or so. Then put down payments on houses here.
I’d prefer no mortgage + Benz + cash and commute if needed.
 
Your best bet is london or sudbury at this point.

I would suggest windsor but by all accounts not a lot of work in that town
Windsor is great. Few guys I know bought duplex’s there for under $200k and are making serious bank on income properties.
 
Windsor is great. Few guys I know bought duplex’s there for under $200k and are making serious bank on income properties.
Only issue for me is I prefer to have my investment properties within an hour drive. Simply to get there if **** hits the fan.

but definite opportunities to make serious coin.
 
I grew up in Scarborough. 550 McCowan Rd just south of Lawrence. Mom and Dad bought the place in 1958 for $22,000. They had to borrow the down payment from Dad's parents, and grandma never let Mom forget."OMG, it's so big".
I wonder what that place would sell for now?

81 Kilgreggan Cres, 3 BR bungalow listed at $888,000 40 X 111 foot lot

112 Brimorton 4 BR bungalow $1,199,998 53 X 104 foot lot
 
I live in KW.

Nothing is available for $350s** and 1 bedroom apartments are creeping into $2000+ territory

** Or cheap mortgage but high condo fees.......

Like the place I am at now is worth $2500-2800/month. (2 bedrooms and it's >= 1000 square feet). That's insanee

edit - I just checked Kijiji again and it's cheaper than December 2020. My bad
Check housesigma. In the past 30 days almost 40 properties in KW have sold under $350,000. Not going to tell you I would live/buy in every one of them but there is always opportunity.
 

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