I think what they're trying to say is that a lot more people on the road (motorcycle riders included) are acting more and more reckless. So even if your level of safe riding hasn't changed in the past 30 years, there's more outside risk coming your way increasing your chances of getting affected by an idiot on the road.
I see it in my commutes, more erratic behaviours, i've only got 10ish years under my belt but the first 5 years i was commuting on the motorbike 2-3 times per week into downtown toronto. You notice patterns after a while.
Even while driving the car, i can notice more dangerous behaviour among the general population.
As someone else mentioned, entitlement is a big factor in this (can i use this word?) pandemic. I feel like it's been amplified post-covid, people are hella impatient. Lane blocking at traffic lights has become commonplace downtown to the point that we need police officers directing traffic (i mean wtf happened during covid that we can't manage that ourselves anymore?!). There's just a lot of wrong happening on the road and people are more and more unpredictable making it more hazardous for everybody involved.
I know cops have some pretty ingrained preconceptions about motorcyclists, so I'm naturally skeptical when they jump to the conclusions that all motorcyclists are immediately at fault. For example, if someone is doing 120 on the 401, technically they are speeding and that excessive speed could then be considered a factor in a crash, thus absolving any involved driver and transferring blame to the motorcyclist. It's only semi-pertinent to this thread, but I ranted at length about this in another thread, and having thought about it, I think the following have all added up to create an awful mess in Toronto:
- Main Character Syndrome as the end product of 75 years of unbridled consumerism, and ad culture shouting at everyone that they're the most important person in the room, leading to many who struggle to understand the basic concepts of cooperation and collective effort.
- Poor infrastructure management means we haven't upgraded our roadways and public transport options to keep up with the massive population growth in Southern Ontario, leading to a lot worse traffic and more frustrated, impatient, and flat out angry drivers. Add misguided attempts to discourage driving in the city (without providing an option that works for many drivers, as cycling in from the suburbs doesn't really work for most, and transit is slow and extremely expensive) to make it really crazy.
- Above mentioned population growth has driven up housing costs so people are forced to commute longer and longer distances through worse traffic, with similar results as the above.
- Above mentioned population growth is mostly immigration from countries with very different driving styles than we're historically had in Canada, and because our licenses are generally distributed in Cracker Jack boxes, nobody is actually taught the social norms for driving here. Even if they were, I'm not sure it would make a huge difference. This is a huge part of the problem, I think, as there is now no predictable driving approach from other drivers, as they will operate as they did where they learned, which then leads to huge frustration and road rage for others who expect different choices. I have driven in places where the traffic appears to be chaos (Bangkok, for example, or Rome), but because everyone is operating with the same expectations, there is very little road rage (or a lot less) because other drivers broadly do what you expect them to do. Because Toronto now doesn't have anything resembling a homogenous driving culture, there are a thousand different approaches on the road, each conflicting with the others. I want to be clear that this is not an anti-immigration point, that's a separate discussion, but merely a rational consequence of massive demographic shifts with zero enforcement on the governmental side.
- Policing seems to be broadly absent in the past couple of years in enforcing any of the rules of the road besides the occasional speed trap. I drive the QEW from Hamilton to Toronto and back three days a week, and I might see one cop a month on that road, and the last time I saw anyone pulled over is well over six months ago. It's an absolute wild west. This leads to increasingly brazen driving from the drivers who are willing to push the limits, followed by the middle sheep (addressed in the next point) noticing and following suit.
- Working in construction, I had what I called the 10-70-20 rule for labourers. 10% would work hard no matter what. 20% would only work hard in brief spurts when being immediately supervised, but as a general rule would dodge it at every opportunity. And 70% in the middle would work to the level of whatever the guy next to him was doing. If you didn't get rid of the 20% at the bottom quickly, they would 'infect' (to your pandemic point) the 70% guys around them with a poor work ethic. I think very similar rules apply to drivers, though the percentages may vary somewhat. Some will always follow the rules, no matter what. Most will do as others do. And some will bend the rules whenever they can. But if that middle group sees the rule benders getting away with it over and over again with zero consequence, more and more of them will follow suit to the point where the vast majority of drivers is mimicking the bad group: cutting down merge lanes, driving alone in the HOV lane, cutting into on-ramp lines at the last second, driving in the oncoming lane to make a left turn, the examples are endless. With the total lack of enforcement noted above, this has truly become a pandemic of selfish driving.
- To all of the above, you can then add constant distraction, and nanny driving systems that lead to a sense of invulnerability. Ironically, these are allowing the increasingly bad driving to continue while mitigating the worst of the injury and fatality stats for four-wheeled vehicles, but do little to benefit motorcyclists (see Tesla self-driving not even registering motorcycles in many cases as the most obvious example).
As you can tell, I get 6-9 hours a week to ruminate on this as I dodge truly sociopathic drivers into the city and back...