EngineerJoe
Well-known member
Risk is determined by two factors...油井緋色;1966209 said:I was thinking about this randomly today. Over the past few years of riding, I've gotten questions with regards to whether or not I feel that riding is more dangerous than driving. My response is always that I feel that riding is SAFER than driving, simply because you are exposed to your environment and forced to constantly pay attention; not to mention it's nearly impossible to get distracted by regular things that can happen in a car (talking to another person, lighting a cig, cell phone, changing radio, etc.).
1. Likelihood (probability) of an event occurance (i.e. likelihood of crashing your motorcycle)
2. Severity of consequences of said event (e.g. injuries resulting from a low side, left-turner, etc.)
Your argument addresses the reduction of the first, but that is still far outweighed by the severity of the consequences (last factor I read said any given crash on a bike is 35x more likely to result in injury or death compared to a crash in a "cage"). Unless you are 1/35th as likely to get into an accident on a bike compared to a car, your two-wheel passion still carries more risk.
Are you 1/35th as likely to get into an accident on a bike? I certainly don't think so. When we take a closer look at the likelihood of an event, we see there are several things that can affect this number.
Reducing distractions compared to driving (no phones, changing radio stations, talking to another person, etc) which is your argument. This argument is slowly losing ground with the onset of bluetooth headsets that also handle radio stations and MP3 players. Larger bikes also have head units and have had them for some time, which further negates your arguments that distractions are reduced. Keep in mind that people like myself can't easily have a conversation in a vehicle because the primary focus is driving (the conversation only gets a small portion of my attention and is often broken and interrupted). I will certainly agree that my mind is less focused on "life" distractions when riding (e.g. why does my job suck yet my girlfriend doesn't), and this is what makes riding a form of "escape".
Experience. This not only helps reduce the likelihood of an event, it also helps reduce the severity (e.g. knowing what to do when an accident is unavoidable). Unfortunately, things like limited visibility (as we are smaller than cages), higher acceleration rates (typically, although not always) and road conditions (e.g. gravel) are things that negatively impact the probability argument. Experience will reduce the probability of an accident, but I'm not convinced that it will be lower than the probability of an accident in a cage.
That being said, both the probability of an accident and the severity of an accident are higher than when in a cage making it riskier.