Has the market cooled down considerably since the introduction of the NRST? Has it has a big impact on multiple offer scenarios?
Would now be a good time to buy or?
It definitely had an impact on the market. While the fundamentals of the market haven't changed, perception is reality! When greed is running wild, we see crazy price appreciations without reason and same happens on the downturn.
We are seeing more properties coming in the market in the past month and multiple offers haven't been working much anymore. I've been advising my clients for months now to ask what you're looking to sell the property for and forego the offer presentation process.
There are two ways this would end... I should point out that I don't see the market crashing because the fundamentals are still the same. The increased number of listings is more sellers bringing their properties on the market to take advantage of the high dollars. For the first time in years, buyers now have a choice and it's leaving some properties in the market.
I just ran some numbers to review this and following is what i found in C01 (downtown Toronto) for the month of May for 2016 versus 2017 for freehold properties
2016 2017
Total Count 99 52
List to sold difference 89-111-140% 87-109-143%
Days on Market 1-11-220 1-10-120
* The three numbers in a row mean low - median - high
* The numbers for today and tomorrow are still not posted
There is definitely a shift in the market place with more properties coming to the market and less have transacted...
Here are the two ways it will end:
We will see a price decrease and it will be slow. It will take some time for the buyers to gain confidence and come back in the market and start putting offers. This usually happens when there is a significant change in the market place such as rising interest rates etc... It's still a possibility as perception is reality
The other way it can go is the buyers that are holding back right now wait long enough for the market to come down a bit and then we start getting into a frenzy again. This happened in 2008 when Toronto's real estate market came to a halt because of news from the US... Prices moved lower and then right back up in a matter of six months... Some of the best buys my clients made were all made during this period...
So the answer is that no one knows... The market might just end up crashing for no reason or we might find out that Home Trust wasn't the only lender in trouble...
Some articles:
http://www.buildingsforsaletoronto.com/2017/04/28/16-new-rules-to-curb-the-toronto-housing-crisis/
http://www.buildingsforsaletoronto.com/2017/04/28/is-this-the-start-of-the-end-home-trust-meltdown/
Hope this helps...