https://www.therecord.com/news-stor...et-2020-electric-vehicle-target-analysts-say/
interesting read ^^
basically, electric car adoption won't be realized till 2030 and beyond.
That's not what that article says.
It says that the 2020 target of 5% of the market won't be met (and I'd agree, there's practically no chance of that happening) and "the road to serious acceptance" is 2030 or beyond. And, the government's target of getting public charging stations built is behind schedule (no kidding).
It does NOT say that you shouldn't buy an electric vehicle!
If you happen to have usage patterns for which an EV will fit ... today ... go ahead and do it!
FWIW if Tesla manages to build the 500,000 Model 3 cars per year that they want to build, that's about 2.9% of the North American market for light-duty vehicles (around 17 million per year). It is of course open to question when they will reach that production rate (2020 is plausible) and if demand for the car is sustained beyond the initial pent-up demand (I have my doubts).
My own somewhat-educated opinion (being involved in the auto industry means I have some idea of what's coming down the pike) is that EV market share will continue increasing rapidly from its current low level. The US government situation will slow adoption some, but better and more affordable products are coming in the 2019 - 2021 timeframe. GM, VW, M-B, BMW all have known upcoming EVs on dedicated EV vehicle platforms. Early 2020s is when things start getting serious. I think by 2030, range anxiety will be for the most part a thing of the past (unless you are travelling to extremely remote areas, Alaska, Yukon, etc) and EVs will be the default choice for commuter vehicles. Buses will be mostly EV (they're already on the market).
From the current 0.7% market share, if we assume 30% increase per year for the next 12 years, that ends up at 16% ... that's probably conservative. That same rate of increase would mean 2020 market share around 1.5% .. plausible.