Get ready for 60 cent Canadian dollar

Roadghost

Well-known member
Buy your bikes and accessories now because they will all be 10% more expensive in short order as Canada has to pay back Trudeau's massive debt.



(Bloomberg) — Canada’s currency will depreciate sharply and its credit rating will suffer as the federal government is forced to “backstop everyone,” rolling out more assistance for provinces, companies and households, according to economist David Rosenberg.

The country is “likely facing a series of downgrades” to its AAA rating, given that the total debt in the economy is already an unprecedented 350% of GDP, he said. In the Group of Seven, only Canada and Germany have the highest rating.

Rosenberg, who started Rosenberg Research & Associates Inc. in January after more than a decade as chief economist at Gluskin Sheff & Associates Inc., said Canada may be lucky to escape with a cut to AA. He also said his call for the loonie to drop to 60 U.S. cents may end up being conservative. The Canadian dollar was just below 71 U.S. cents late Friday afternoon.

The rampant growth in money supply required for the Bank of Canada to fund federal spending by purchasing new bonds will cause international investors to lose confidence in the relative value of the country’s currency, Rosenberg said.

“It will be interesting to see how a central bank that does not govern over the world’s reserve currency and a country with a massive balance-of-payments deficit will be able to have all of this largesse find its way onto the BoC balance sheet” without jeopardizing global investor confidence, he said.

Rosenberg, who presciently warned of a U.S. housing bubble in 2005 when he was chief North American economist at Merrill Lynch, said “the Great Canadian Debt Surge has come home to roost, and that home is going to be in the nation’s capital.”[/quote]
 
Parts are already more expensive. :mad:
 
bah.....everyone’s on a spending spree to prop up nearly everything. I’m glad too, I can only imagine what would have happened if there was no relief. There’s a chance we will see cracks in society start to appear anyway though.
 
Justin's or Pierre's?
 
We sell rocks, trees, fish, oil and lumber - and oh yeah, technology.
We'll be fine compared to our neighbours south of the border.
 
We sell rocks, trees, fish, oil and lumber - and oh yeah, technology.
We'll be fine compared to our neighbours south of the border.

Our dollar's worth is dependent on our GDP, like every other currency EXCEPT the US dollar.
The value of the US dollar is dependent on OPEC sales. All OPEC sales are done in US dollars and in cash.

For the most part, the US can do anything and there will still be demand for it's dollar.
 
This timeless classic was recorded in the wake of the global financial crisis, but it's going to be equally true after this one.

 
I’ve alway kept part of my investments in US securities. Works out nicely now, my last dividend check converted at $1.41. Also works well for Canadian companies that have high labor content in their products.

A buddy of mine makes parts for hospital beds, more than half his cost it labour. He just got a big order from the US govt that will keep 20 people really busy for the next few months. Low dollar and smart production planning keep the factory running equals jobs and a small wheelbarrow of profit.
 
...
A buddy of mine makes parts for hospital beds, more than half his cost it labour. He just got a big order from the US govt that will keep 20 people really busy for the next few months. Low dollar and smart production planning keep the factory running equals jobs and a small wheelbarrow of profit.
I sure hope he gets his money up front, the buyer has been known to back out on deals for the strangest reasons.
 
I sure hope he gets his money up front, the buyer has been known to back out on deals for the strangest reasons.
US Govt is the buyer, if they run out of cash we all will have bigger concerns.
 
US Govt is the buyer, if they run out of cash we all will have bigger concerns.
They won't run out of cash but they also just might cancel the order, that is not without precedent .
 
Low dollar here is great for businesses selling outside the country, it’s terrible for us travelling. I base my overseas vacation locations on wherever the $CDN goes the furthest. Luckily I guess I won’t need to think about that for a while.
 
We (my company) often price our product going into the US dollar for dollar and let the exchange be the margin. Its good when your selling, Sure sucks for everything I'm buying in from Russia and most of South America right now.
 
Funny thing about the past when our dollar was tanked bad in the late 90's, multiple things happened:

- The automakers expanded here because it was drastically cheaper to build cars vs the many other places in the world.

- The tourism industry boomed because Americans loved coming and getting more or lesss 50% more bang for their buck.

- Our manufacturing industry as a whole boomed because there was a huge incentive for companies to export product at ~40% premium on the dollar, and even if they had to cut that to 30% to effectively outbid and eliminate the competition they were still laughing.

- US companies that relied a lot on Canadian tourists offered "Canadian dollar at par" specials. I'm sure a few here remember those. It was better for them to sacrifice a percentage of their profits and fill the slots than to do without. THIS was a boom for Canadian tourists in the USA as there was some very attractive deals to be had as a result. I fully expect to see these again before the end of the year (and in the years ahead) as the tourism industry tries to recover from this kneecapping and needs to make themselves VERY attractive to everyone everywhere in a world where those willing to engage in (and can afford) leisure travel will be much smaller.
 
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